22 September 2011. PenzaNews. Protest actions against the Syrian president Bashar Assad last from the middle of March, 2011. Till the present time the events taking place in Syria were not so active like in Tunisia, Egypt or Libya. But, according to the United Nations data more than 2.5 thousand people have been killed there since the beginning of the conflict.

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Many Russian experts express the opinion that the Arab revolutions undermine stability in the Middle Eastern region. As for Syria, the chief researcher of the Institute of World Economy and Foreign Affairs of Russian Academy of Science Georgy Mirsky in the interview to “Nezavisimaya Gazeta” supposed that the Syrian regime is more stable than in Libya, because there is no joint opposition.

There is also an opinion that Syria is a victim of an international conspiracy which has the aim to destabilize the situation in the region. It would be comfortable for the realization of the American plan “the Greater Middle East”, developed 30 years ago. It is presupposed the democratization of a big region from Afghanistan to Marocco. United States and its allies planed to create the reformist forces in the Middle Eastern countries including an independent commission for the monitor of elections, law firms, human rights groups, new media, etc.

Experts also express the opinion that the regime change in Syria could lead to a big civil war in the Middle East, which will certainly touch Turkey and Iran. Other neighbour countries — Israel, Jordan, Azerbaijan, Lebanon — can also be in the focus.

While Washington is increasing pressure on the government of Bashar Assad, Moscow is going to establish a dialogue with both sides, discussing the next steps of United Nations Security Council.

The journalists of the newspaper “The Christian Science Monitor” Nicholas Bledford and Fred Weir take the position that international efforts will not be enough for overthrowing of the Syrian president, while he has the support of Russia.

They note that Russian government is sure that the regime of autocracy will bring much less evil in comparison with the revolutionary uprisings in the Middle East. This opinion was widely spread after the NATO campaign in Libya.

According to the observers, Russia can block all attempts of international pressure on Assad by economic or military sanctions as one of five UN Security Council members with the right of veto.

Media Trainer, secretary of Human Rights and Press Freedom Sudanese Journalists Union, National coordinator of Eastern Africa Journalists Association Mekki Elmograbi in the interview to the news agency PenzaNews said that Syrian President Bashar Assad has time for political changes in the country that will allow him to remain in power.

He said: “However, this time is limited. Assad has to change the ruling “Baas” party and security system of the country to start reforms. But he can not make reformation using the same tools, that had been used before”.

According to Mekki Elmograbi it is important to form National Council in Suria, which will include representatives of other parties and the opposition. Only then it is possible to talk about effective measures which can change the political situation.

He noted: “It is important to understand that political leader can not make reforms in the country using only the support of his party. This process should involve the various forces”.

According to him, Assad hopes to get results using methods inherited from his father. However, Mekki Elmograbi is sure that an attempt to change the political structure would be less painful for the country than the repetition of revolutionary scenarios.

He said: “The results of changes in Egypt were not positive. Now there is no peace, no stability, and no security in the streets of Cairo after sunset. They overthrowed the old regime, but in fact there is no regime in the country now”.

He also agreed with the view that today Syria is a stage where a conflict of interest of different countries take plece.

Mekki Elmograbi said: “It's true, but I think that this statement can be applied for any country. Many countries have an interest in Syria. Meanwhile, it is not an excuse for Bashar Assad, or a reason to stay in power without changes in the political life of Syria”.

Anti-government protests last in Syria since the middle of March 2011. Opposition demands overthowing of the President Bashar Assad and political reforms. Unrest which began in Deraa spread to other regions of the country. According to UN estimates, during the strikes more than 1.4 thousand people were killed, about 2.7 thousand were suffered.

The U.S. and EU asked Assad to go into retirement. Russian government expressed that it would support UN Security Council resolution for Syria if it will be addressed to both sides of the conflict.